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Coronavirus: UI Team Predicts 312 Cases By Friday




Williams Babalola

The University of Ibadan Committee on COVID-19 Data Analysis and Management has predicted that at least 312 cases would be recorded in Nigeria by Friday.

Nigeria recorded an increase of 14 cases, bringing the total number of COVID-19 cases to 111 on Sunday.

In a graphical report, the UI team said if the current trend continued, the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Nigeria would hit 312 by Friday, April 3.

The graphical report shared by UI’s Deputy Vice-Chancellor, Research, Innovation and Strategic Partnership, Prof. Olanike Adeyemo, on her Facebook wall showed the rate at which the infection is being transmitted among those who were exposed to COVID-19.

The explanatory note on one of the graphs reads: “Approximately 70.4 per cent of those people currently infected with COVID-19 were initially exposed to the disease on day 12 of the occurrence of the disease in Nigeria.

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“The predictive model is an indication that the disease will continue to be on the increase in the days ahead and that time, in days, accounted for 89.0 per cent of the variation in the cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Nigeria.

“If the current trend continues, the number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 is expected to be at least 312 by 3rd April, 2020.”

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